Da Vinci Markets

The brief

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are where serious forecasters now express conviction, but they read like raw orderbooks. Most traders cannot tell at a glance whether a market is mispriced, whether news has moved consensus, or where the smart money is positioned. Da Vinci Markets had to take that flood of contracts and translate it into something a generalist can act on.

The build

A daily-refresh prediction-market analysis layer with a model-edge view on event prices. Pulls live markets from major venues, attaches structured AI commentary (catalysts, base rates, recent movement, comparable historical markets), and surfaces a daily watchlist of what is actually moving. Real-time updates, alert subscriptions, and gated full access for invited operators. Every market is graded on liquidity, edge, and confidence.

Outcome

Live for invited operators while pricing and onboarding flow are finalised. Full walkthrough available on request — the product handles election markets, macro contracts, and event-driven contracts across both venues in one terminal.